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Wednesday, December 31, 2008

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The performance of gold bullion is often compared to stocks. They are fundamentally different asset classes: gold is a store of value whereas stocks are a return on value (i.e. growth plus dividends). Stocks and bonds perform best in a stable political climate with strong property rights and little turmoil. The attached graph shows the value of Dow Jones Industrial Average divided by the price of an ounce of gold. Since 1800, stocks have consistently gained value in comparison to gold due in part to the stability of the American political system.This appreciation has been cyclical with long periods of stock outperformance followed by long periods of gold outperformance. The Dow Industrials bottomed out a ratio of 1:1 with gold during 1980 (the end of the 1970s bear market) and proceeded to post gains throughout the 1980s and 1990s. The ratio peaked on January 14th, 2000 a value of 41.3 and has fallen sharply since. William Anton III wrote in the 2004 issue of Jefferson Coin and Bullion "...downward movement in the Dow/gold ratio is unlikely to stop precisely at the mean trendline. The extreme distension of the the 90s will likely overshoot to the opposite extreme in the current cycle."
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Central banks and the International Monetary Fund play an important role in the gold price. At the end of 2004 central banks and official organizations held 19 percent of all above-ground gold as official gold reserves. The Washington Agreement on Gold (WAG), which dates from September 1999, limits gold sales by its members (Europe, United States, Japan, Australia, Bank for International Settlements and the International Monetary Fund) to less than 400 tonnes a year. European central banks, such as the Bank of England and Swiss National Bank, have been key sellers of gold over this period.
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Old gold coins should never be cleaned. But it's not just excited treasure hunters that make this mistake. Even archaeologists working with ancient coins come under fire for the practice of restoring ancient coins, although in their case it may be necessary in order to see the coin well enough to properly date and categorize it. Those coins will not end up in most collections. But then again, archaeologists are not trying to preserve numismatic value.
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Gold is a tremendous holiday gift and I encourage you to give gold and silver coins to your loved ones this holiday season. There are two high level reasons I like this idea so much. First, gold is an appreciating asset and store of value. By giving a gold coin, you are giving a loved one an investment that has intrinsic value. Second, in this day and age, gold is not a familiar concept to many people. By giving a gold coin, you are opening up a new investment idea to your loved ones. Perhaps they have not considered investing in gold before. Upon holding their first gold coin, they will most likely be extremely interested in learning more. Your gift could provide the perfect starting point to start mentoring and teaching your loved ones all about your passion for gold.
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Some mexican gold coins Stories

“Brand New” Ancient Roman Gold Coins in Heritage January 2009 NYINC Auction

Thu, 23 Oct 2008 14:32:28 +0000
Rare and important Coin Medallion of Hadrian Augustus also headlines
A trio of exceptional coins from ancient Rome is being offered in Heritage Auction Galleries’ Signature® Auction of Ancient & World Coins to be held at the New York International Numismatic Convention, in New York City on January 4-5, 2009. The Heritage auction and the Convention ...]

Dollar Coin Use Begins in Washington Metro Transit System

Mon, 22 Dec 2008 19:25:16 +0000
$1 coins may now be used throughout the Washington Metro Transit System, the United States Mint and Washington Metro Area Transit Authority jointly announced today.
All modern $1 coins — from Presidential Dollars, to Sacagawea Golden Dollars, to the upcoming Native American $1 Coins — are now accepted and can be dispensed in ...]

Metal detector discovers rare Celtic coin treasure in Netherlands from 1st century B.C.

Fri, 14 Nov 2008 16:30:00 +0000
Ancient Celtic coin cache found in Netherlands

AMSTERDAM, Netherlands – A hobbyist with a metal detector struck both gold and silver when he uncovered an important cache of ancient Celtic coins in a...



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Gold Still Glitters While Sentiment Grows to a Bullish ExtremeSovereign Society, FL - 17 hours agoThis is a classic sign that the gold trade is getting overcrowded with bulls. Whenever sentiment in any market or sector gets this one-sid

Wed, 30 Jan 2008 12:49:27 GMT
Business Intelligence Middle East (press release), United Arab Emirates -Dubai's gold trade has also benefited considerably from the tight supply and strong demand fundamentals of the metal." Dubai is a long-established market ...

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